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Climate

Worst-case climate scenario less likely, but warming continues

Published Thursday, May 21, 2026

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Media Analysis

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A recent scientific paper suggests that the most extreme climate change scenario, RCP8.5/SSP5-8.5, is now less likely to occur. However, global warming persists, underscoring the continued need for international efforts to address climate change.

What We Know — Key Points

  • A scientific paper published in April indicates that the doomsday pathway known as RCP8.5 and later SSP5-8.5 is now less probable.
  • Despite the reduced likelihood of the worst-case scenario, global warming continues, necessitating ongoing international political efforts.

What Is Claimed — Perspectives

  • Deutsche WelleCenter

    The article provides a balanced overview of updated climate change projections and the ongoing international political efforts and challenges in addressing global warming.

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  • Key points, perspectives, bias labels, and categorisation may contain errors.
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